Prof. ST Hsieh
Director, US-China Energy Industry Forum
626-376-7460
December 20, 2023
One can say any single public opinion poll is not indicative and it should be ignored. But if many polls show the same result at the same time, no one should dismiss the messages. Further, if many polls show the same result consistently for a long period of time, the message clearly reflects the trend of public opinion.
As President of the USA, Biden’s performance is evaluated by the public through opinion polls: unfortunately, Biden does not pass the scrutiny. One major reason is that the Biden team pays more attention to his and Democratic voting base than the US national interest.
As a candidate for 2nd term reelection, Biden is trailing his only opponent, former President Trump, nationwide. While other polls show that any other Democrat candidate can easily beat Trump. Why not bug out now?
It is time for Biden to focus on managing current affairs and secure his legacy as a successful one-term president. Or facing a defeat in 2024, Biden’s legacy???
The polling is clear: Biden needs to get popular again quickly or drop out
Madison Hall
Tue, December 19, 2023 at 9:07 AM PST
- President Joe Biden’s current approval rating is not where he and his campaign want it to be.
- His approval ratings are historically bad, worse than any president since at least 1945.
- With less than a year to go until the election, he needs to turn it around — and quick.
President Joe Biden’s polling at the moment is in a rough spot.
And not in an “Oh he just needs a good month on the campaign trail to get back on the right track” kind of way.
The president’s current polling should be giving the Democratic Party immense reason to worry and creating an existential crisis to those working on his campaign.
According to the latest Monmouth University Poll conducted between November 30 to December 4, at 34%, Biden’s approval rating is at an all-time low. Several other major polls have shown Biden trailing by several percentage points in a hypothetical rematch against Trump in 2024.
Though the majority of the respondents to the Monmouth poll said they disapproved of Biden’s handling of every policy area they were asked about, two in particular stuck out the most: his administration’s response to “inflation” and “immigration,” where nearly 70% of respondents disapproved of the 46th president.
What do Biden and his campaign do now?
At the moment, it certainly seems like Biden’s in a political pickle.
As war continues to rage in Gaza following Hamas terrorist attacks in Israel on October 7, a recent New York Times/Siena Poll reveals that a majority of registered voters — 57% — either somewhat or strongly disapprove of the way he’s handled the conflict.
At the beginning of the war between Israeli forces and Hamas, Biden wholeheartedly expressed his sympathy and support for Israel, pledging he’d do his best to send a support package to the country’s military with congressional approval.
Biden’s State Department ultimately went around Congress earlier in December to approve a sale of $106 million worth of tank ammunition to Israel.
Since October 7, Israel’s killed more than 18,000 Palestinians, according to reports from the Gaza Health Ministry, including thousands of women and children. In December, Biden privately told donors he felt that Israel’s “indiscriminate” bombings needed to change.
Nevertheless, if Biden does change his public support for Israel’s ongoing wartime campaign, he’ll rankle a chunk of his base without guaranteeing he can ever regain the trust of many swing-state Muslim voters who’ve already pledged to ditch their support for Biden, the candidate.
Additionally, it looks like the only way for Congress — and Biden as well — to provide any additional wartime funding to Ukraine is to package it alongside legislation regarding border security.
As polls have shown, American voters want Biden to change course on his immigration policies, but doing so would also alienate much of his base and Democratic colleagues at the same time.
To make matters even more complicated, House Republicans recently approved an impeachment inquiry into Biden around the same time Biden’s younger son, Hunter, was federally indicted for alleged tax evasion.
And if he can’t get his approval ratings up — and quick — then he and the Democratic Party need to have a serious conversation about replacing him on the Democratic ticket in the 2024 presidential race.
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