Prof. ST Hsieh
Director, US-China Energy Industry Forum
September 6, 2023
Normally, campaigning for the US presidency heats up after Labor Day every four years. US voters would have a slate of candidates with different views to select through TV interviews, speeches, and debates. But this election is unprecedented because we are already stuck with the front runner of each major party. Unfortunately, both candidates, President Biden, and former President Trump, are not welcome: Biden for his age and performance; Trump is being criminally prosecuted for up to 90 some serious charges, major charges against him are directly related to his time in the White House. These are personal issues with significant consequences.
Even more bizarre, as of now, there is no single credible challengers from either party. The party primaries will start in six months, time is running out for the US. Further, most of polls show that Trump led Biden. Is it time for everyone to get ready for Trump II in 2025?
From the former Governor Huckabee’s point of view, Trump cannot lose in 2024! Because Trump is already strapped by busy court hearings up and until the election day or beyond with one case will be televised live on TV: there is no doubt that many voters are already convinced that Biden administration is using the court to disqualify and/or defeat Trump! If January 6, 2021, taught us any lesson, Trump were to lose at the ballot boxes, bullets will fly in January 2025. Will the Republic survive?
We sincerely hope Governor Sununu’s prediction is true: neither Biden nor Trump will be on the 2224 ballot. Maybe it is time for President Biden to bow out right now!
Huckabee: 2024 will be last election ‘decided by ballots rather than bullets’ if Trump loses over legal cases
Wed, September 6, 2023 at 1:19 PM PDT·
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) on Wednesday said 2024 will be the last election “decided by ballots rather than bullets” if former President Trump doesn’t win the presidential race because of his various legal battles.
In the latest episode of his show on TBN, Huckabee argued the legal woes now facing Trump are part of a politically motivated scheme from the Biden administration, an argument touted by many in the former president’s orbit.
“If these tactics end up working to keep Trump from winning or even running in 2024, it is going to be the last American election that will be decided by ballots rather than bullets,” Huckabee warned in his opening monologue.
Huckabee accused President Biden and his team of trying “to make sure that Donald Trump is not his opponent in 2024″ and “to destroy Trump in the courthouse rather than at the ballot box.” He also alleged the Justice Department, the IRS and the FBI are “conspiring to hide the Biden family crimes, while all the time being obsessed with charging Donald Trump with crimes.”
As Trump campaigns for the White House in 2024 — after losing his reelection bid in 2020 to Biden — he’s been faced with multiple indictments on federal and state charges in courthouses across the country.
The former president now faces charges related to attempts to overturn the 2020 election results and to his handling of classified documents following two DOJ investigations. In Manhattan, he faces charges related to 2016 hush-money payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels. And in Georgia, he’s been charged in relation to efforts to overturn the 2020 election results in the state.
Huckabee, who unsuccessfully ran for the Republican presidential nomination in 2008 and 2016, went on to laud Trump, who has long polled as the front-runner of the GOP field.
“I know that there are a dozen or so other Republican candidates wanting to be the GOP nominee next year, and most of them were on the stage last week to audition for the job. But if you watched what was more a game show than a substantive debate, you realize none of them have the gravitas of Donald Trump,” Huckabee said.
Trump did not participate in the Republican National Committee’s first presidential debate last month.
Sun, September 3, 2023 at 8:23 AM PDT·
New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu (R) said Sunday there’s a “good shot” that neither President Biden nor former President Trump will be on the presidential ballot in 2024.
“It’s not going to be that way. Look, I think there’s a good shot that neither of them are actually on that ballot,” Sununu told NBC’s Chuck Todd on “Meet the Press.”
He said many Americans would likely support political organization No Labels in its effort to put a bipartisan ticket on the ballot. The governor also said up to 70 percent of Americans will feel “politically homeless” if Biden and Trump are on the ballot in next year’s election.
“I think Trump can very much lose if they winnow it down to one on one,” he added. “I think there’s a lot of issues that are going to come to bear with President Biden over the next year and a lot of opportunity for the Democrats to find another — another candidate. But to the No Labels point, there’s an opportunity there like never before. It would have to be the right candidate. It has to be somebody very energizing, positive.”
Sununu also ruled out a third-party bid for president Sunday, saying that he wanted to focus on working on making sure “the Republican Party is the best version of itself.”
“And that is it with yesterday’s news of Donald Trump, and a conservative that can fulfill on all the policies that Trump brought forward that we agreed with, but he just couldn’t get done,” he said. “He didn’t get the border done. He didn’t get fiscal discipline done. He didn’t drain the swamp. Those are great ideas. But let’s get a conservative in there that can actually do it.”
Trump wallops Biden among unlikely voters: poll
Wed, September 6, 2023 at 8:27 AM PDT·
Former President Trump outperformed President Biden in a new survey of unlikely voters in a hypothetical 2024 presidential election.
The Suffolk University/USA Today survey, released Wednesday, polled 900 U.S. citizens ages 18 and older — about half of whom were registered to vote. While the poll found respondents preferred Trump over Biden, more voted for either “other” or “undecided.”
When asked for whom they would vote or toward whom they would lean at this time, 15 percent of the unregistered voters said Biden, 27.5 percent said Trump and nearly 28 percent said either “other” (5 percent) or “undecided” (about 23 percent). Another 8 percent chose Green Party candidate Cornel West, and about 7 percent refused to answer the question.
Trump and Biden had similar favorable and unfavorable ratings in the survey, though the former president held a slight edge over Biden. Among all 900 respondents, Biden’s favorability was about 23.5 percent, while Trump’s was roughly 27.5 percent. The president’s unfavorability was 52 percent, while the former president’s was 49 percent.
The full group was characterized among those who said they were “not at all likely” (66 percent), “not very likely” (20 percent), or “undecided” whether they would vote (14 percent) in the 2024 presidential election.